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Federal judge blocks Minnesota’s prediction market ban days before it takes effect

A federal judge issued a preliminary injunction blocking Minnesota's ban on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket days before it was set to take effect, ruling that challengers had shown they were likely to succeed on preemption grounds. The law would have made it a felony for most prediction markets to operate and advertise in the state; a Minnesota lawmaker defended the ban as addressing gambling as a public health and safety issue, while the state's attorney general said his office would continue litigating to defend the law. The ruling was also noted as potentially affecting similar bans being pursued by other states.

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Minnesota Judge Blocks First State Ban on Prediction Markets Like Kalshi and Polymarket

NBC News and The New York Times report the injunction as a straightforward legal/procedural story, emphasizing the judge's preemption reasoning, the timeline of the CFTC's escalating legal pressure, and Minnesota's characterization of the ban as a public-safety/gambling measure via a quote from Rep. Emily Greenman. NBC also situates Minnesota's ban within a broader pattern of state pushback (Arizona, Nevada, Utah).

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Federal Judge Halts Minnesota's Prediction Market Ban, Signaling Other States' Efforts Might Be Illegal Too

Reason frames the ruling as a win for prediction markets against 'state overreach,' quoting the CFTC chairman's characterization, and emphasizes the ruling's implications for other states (Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Wisconsin) pursuing similar bans. It gives more space to legal analysis of what remains open (narrower state bans on non-swap contracts) and includes pushback from Minnesota AG Keith Ellison vowing continued litigation, giving a more adversarial framing between free-market advocates and state regulators.

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