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Trump and Xi are set to meet in DC. Why some China watchers have low expectations

At the SCO summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan, China's Xi held a low-key meeting with Iran's Pezeshkian that Chinese state media did not report, even as Chinese outlets gave extensive coverage to Xi's meetings with other visiting leaders. Iranian state media described the encounter as a brief meeting. The muted treatment comes as China has been the largest buyer of Iran's sanctioned oil, though flows through the Strait of Hormuz have dropped sharply, from about 1.85 million barrels per day in March-April to about 240,000 barrels per day in August, according to ship-tracking data. The development is being viewed against the backdrop of an upcoming meeting between Trump and Xi in Washington.

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China’s support for Iran shows its limits as US ramps up pressure on Tehran

Al Jazeera frames the story around the structural limits of China-Iran ties, emphasizing the asymmetry of the relationship, the gap between Chinese investment rhetoric and reality, and China's balancing act with Gulf states, portraying China's muted support as a longstanding pattern rather than primarily a summit-driven tactical move.

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China's Xi keeps Iranian president at arm's length weeks ahead of Trump summit

CNBC frames the story primarily through the lens of the upcoming Trump-Xi summit and US strategic interests, emphasizing China's 'calibrated' public distancing from Iran as a signal ahead of Xi's Washington visit, and devotes substantial space to US domestic political stakes (midterms, tariffs, Bessent's sanctions push) and expert skepticism about summit outcomes.

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